---
title: Ethiopia’s Rebels Are Collapsing. That Doesn’t Mean The War Is Over
description: "The anti-Abiy alliance was fractured from birth, and federal forces have retaken Mekelle. But a guerrilla TPLF, rebel drones, and Eritrea's looming intervention could still widen the war."
url: https://fronts.co/videos/ethiopias-rebels-are-collapsing-that-doesnt-mean-the-war-is-over.md
canonical: https://fronts.co/videos/ethiopias-rebels-are-collapsing-that-doesnt-mean-the-war-is-over/
datePublished: 2026-10-05T20:00:27.000Z
dateModified: 2026-10-05T20:00:27.000Z
author:
  - name: Simon Whistler
    url: https://fronts.co/authors/simon-whistler/
publisher: Fronts
image: "https://media.fronts.co/cdn-cgi/image/width=1200,height=630,fit=cover,gravity=auto,quality=80,format=auto/images/articles/ethiopias-rebels-are-collapsing-that-doesnt-mean-the-war-is-over-f935037f.png"
type: NewsArticle
language: en
access: members
isAccessibleForFree: false
tokens: 87
---

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The anti-Abiy alliance was fractured from birth, and federal forces have retaken Mekelle. But a guerrilla TPLF, rebel drones, and Eritrea's looming intervention could still widen the war.

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Full analysis is behind the paywall. Read the gated piece at https://fronts.co/videos/ethiopias-rebels-are-collapsing-that-doesnt-mean-the-war-is-over/.
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