--- title: "Who Could Russia Invade Next?" description: "Putin is cornered—and desperate leaders make dangerous decisions. As Russia struggles in Ukraine, fears grow that Armenia or Georgia could become the Kremlin’s next target in a bid to reassert power. Read the full article: https://go.warfronts.pub/who-could-russia-invade-next Stay ahead of global conflicts with WarFronts Weekly. Get sharp, no-nonsense military analysis straight to your inbox. Subscribe: https://fronts.co/warfronts-weekly Get full conflict briefings, and members-only analysis at fronts.co https://fronts.co Join the community and discuss current flashpoints in real time: https://www.reddit.com/r/frontsco Love the content? Explore Simon's other YouTube channels: Megaprojects: https://www.youtube.com/@megaprojects9649 SideProjects: https://www.youtube.com/@Sideprojects Into The Shadows: https://www.youtube.com/@IntotheShadows Today I Found Out: https://www.youtube.com/@TodayIFoundOut Brain Blaze: https://www.youtube.com/@brainblaze6526 Casual Criminalist: https://www.youtube.com/@TheCasualCriminalist Decoding the Unknown: https://www.youtube.com/@decodingtheunknown2373 Places: https://www.youtube.com/@Places302 Celestium: https://www.youtube.com/@Celestium1234 HomeFronts: https://www.youtube.com/@homefronts Simon on social: Twitter: https://twitter.com/SimonWhistler Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/simonwhistler/ References https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz7g5xnvl2eo https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2026/03/un-commission-concludes-deportation-and-forcible-transfer-ukrainian-children https://www.hrw.org/news/2025/12/11/russias-systematic-torture-of-ukrainian-pows https://www.amnesty.org/en/projects/russias-aggression-in-ukraine/ https://www.cfr.org/articles/can-russia-be-held-accountable-war-crimes-ukraine https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-strange-fear-of-russia/ https://nps.edu/web/ecco/w/perspectives-on-ukraine-and-the-russian-invasion https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10758216.2025.2467057 https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2022/09/my-country-right-or-wrong-russian-public-opinion-on-ukraine https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclusive/why-russians-are-souring-on-putins-war/ https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/how-strong-is-russian-public-support-for-the-invasion-of-ukraine-2/ https://x.com/ChrisOwiki/status/2058527373314740308 https://x.com/ChrisOwiki/status/2058534327596519490 https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2054894416356147431 https://www.crisisgroup.org/visual-explainers/nagorno-karabakh-conflict-visual-explainer https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/listen-to-what-vladimir-putin-is-saying-about-armenia https://x.com/MikiashviliM/status/2058844113970057380 https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/ukraines-intermediate-range-strike-campaign-and-new-mechanized-attacks-herald-the-start-of-a-new-phase-of-the-war/?utmsource=x&utmmedium=social&utmcampaign=ukrainestrikecampaign https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/05/25/kyiv-attacks-the-complex-logistics-network-behind-russia-s-war-machine67537984.html https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-hybrid-aggression-against-georgia-use-local-and-external-tools https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/listen-to-what-vladimir-putin-is-saying-about-armenia https://carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/politika/2026/01/armenia-russia-drifting-apart https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/25/armenia-election-crossroads-between-east-west https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/05/20/russia-wants-armenia-back-in-the-fold-it-may-be-too-late-a92801 https://www.euractiv.com/news/putin-says-armenia-eu-membership-referendum-would-be-logical/ https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-may-21/ https://lansinginstitute.org/2026/05/25/from-georgia-to-armenia-russias-use-of-economic-warfare-to-preserve-regional-influence/ https://www.dw.com/en/armenia-balances-on-the-tightrope-between-russia-and-the-eu/a-77055231 https://thehill.com/opinion/international/5841162-armenia-west-strategic-shift/ https://www.chathamhouse.org/events/all/standard-event/armenias-pivotal-election-what-stake-0 https://www.politico.eu/article/armenia-adopts-law-launch-european-union-accession-process/ https://www.euronews.com/2025/07/08/russia-increasing-military-presence-in-armenia-ukraines-military-intelligence-claims https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/magazine/georgia-russia-autocracy-dictatorship.html https://carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/politika/2025/12/georgia-repressions-consequences https://www.gmfus.org/news/georgian-dream-digging-its-own-grave https://www.reuters.com/world/five-minutes-autocracy-how-georgia-u-turned-its-western-path-2025-11-18/ https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/georgian-dream-now-nothing-nightmare" url: https://fronts.co/videos/warfronts-a3jmsjkwaiy.md canonical: https://fronts.co/videos/warfronts-a3jmsjkwaiy/ datePublished: 2026-05-26T17:30:13.000Z dateModified: 2026-05-26T17:30:13.000Z author: - name: Fronts Staff url: https://fronts.co/authors/fronts-team/ publisher: Fronts type: NewsArticle language: en access: members isAccessibleForFree: false tokens: 1217 --- Putin is cornered—and desperate leaders make dangerous decisions. As Russia struggles in Ukraine, fears grow that Armenia or Georgia could become the Kremlin’s next target in a bid to reassert power. Read the full article: https://go.warfronts.pub/who-could-russia-invade-next Stay ahead of global conflicts with WarFronts Weekly. Get sharp, no-nonsense military analysis straight to your inbox. Subscribe: https://fronts.co/warfronts-weekly Get full conflict briefings, and members-only analysis at fronts.co https://fronts.co Join the community and discuss current flashpoints in real time: https://www.reddit.com/r/frontsco Love the content? Explore Simon's other YouTube channels: Megaprojects: https://www.youtube.com/@megaprojects9649 SideProjects: https://www.youtube.com/@Sideprojects Into The Shadows: https://www.youtube.com/@IntotheShadows Today I Found Out: https://www.youtube.com/@TodayIFoundOut Brain Blaze: https://www.youtube.com/@brainblaze6526 Casual Criminalist: https://www.youtube.com/@TheCasualCriminalist Decoding the Unknown: https://www.youtube.com/@decodingtheunknown2373 Places: https://www.youtube.com/@Places302 Celestium: https://www.youtube.com/@Celestium1234 HomeFronts: https://www.youtube.com/@homefronts Simon on social: Twitter: https://twitter.com/SimonWhistler Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/simonwhistler/ References https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz7g5xnvl2eo https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2026/03/un-commission-concludes-deportation-and-forcible-transfer-ukrainian-children https://www.hrw.org/news/2025/12/11/russias-systematic-torture-of-ukrainian-pows https://www.amnesty.org/en/projects/russias-aggression-in-ukraine/ https://www.cfr.org/articles/can-russia-be-held-accountable-war-crimes-ukraine https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-strange-fear-of-russia/ https://nps.edu/web/ecco/w/perspectives-on-ukraine-and-the-russian-invasion https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10758216.2025.2467057 https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2022/09/my-country-right-or-wrong-russian-public-opinion-on-ukraine https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclusive/why-russians-are-souring-on-putins-war/ https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/how-strong-is-russian-public-support-for-the-invasion-of-ukraine-2/ https://x.com/ChrisOwiki/status/2058527373314740308 https://x.com/ChrisOwiki/status/2058534327596519490 https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2054894416356147431 https://www.crisisgroup.org/visual-explainers/nagorno-karabakh-conflict-visual-explainer https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/listen-to-what-vladimir-putin-is-saying-about-armenia https://x.com/MikiashviliM/status/2058844113970057380 https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/ukraines-intermediate-range-strike-campaign-and-new-mechanized-attacks-herald-the-start-of-a-new-phase-of-the-war/?utmsource=x&utmmedium=social&utmcampaign=ukrainestrikecampaign https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/05/25/kyiv-attacks-the-complex-logistics-network-behind-russia-s-war-machine67537984.html https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-hybrid-aggression-against-georgia-use-local-and-external-tools https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/listen-to-what-vladimir-putin-is-saying-about-armenia https://carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/politika/2026/01/armenia-russia-drifting-apart https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/25/armenia-election-crossroads-between-east-west https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/05/20/russia-wants-armenia-back-in-the-fold-it-may-be-too-late-a92801 https://www.euractiv.com/news/putin-says-armenia-eu-membership-referendum-would-be-logical/ https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-may-21/ https://lansinginstitute.org/2026/05/25/from-georgia-to-armenia-russias-use-of-economic-warfare-to-preserve-regional-influence/ https://www.dw.com/en/armenia-balances-on-the-tightrope-between-russia-and-the-eu/a-77055231 https://thehill.com/opinion/international/5841162-armenia-west-strategic-shift/ https://www.chathamhouse.org/events/all/standard-event/armenias-pivotal-election-what-stake-0 https://www.politico.eu/article/armenia-adopts-law-launch-european-union-accession-process/ https://www.euronews.com/2025/07/08/russia-increasing-military-presence-in-armenia-ukraines-military-intelligence-claims https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/magazine/georgia-russia-autocracy-dictatorship.html https://carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/politika/2025/12/georgia-repressions-consequences https://www.gmfus.org/news/georgian-dream-digging-its-own-grave https://www.reuters.com/world/five-minutes-autocracy-how-georgia-u-turned-its-western-path-2025-11-18/ https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/georgian-dream-now-nothing-nightmare --- Full analysis is behind the paywall. Read the gated piece at https://fronts.co/videos/warfronts-a3jmsjkwaiy/.