We're All Sleeping on a China-Philippines War

Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code WARFRONTS at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/WARFRONTS Stay ahead of global conflicts with WarFronts Weekly! Get sharp, no-nonsense military analysis straight to your inbox. 📩 Subscribe now: https://subscribepage.io/WarFrontsWeekly This video is #sponsored by Incogni. Love content? Check out Simon's other YouTube Channels: Megaprojects:https://www.youtube.com/@megaprojects9649 SideProjects: https://www.youtube.com/@Sideprojects Into The Shadows: https://www.youtube.com/@IntotheShadows Today I Found Out: https://www.youtube.com/@TodayIFoundOut Brain Blaze: https://www.youtube.com/@brainblaze6526 Casual Criminalist: https://www.youtube.com/@TheCasualCriminalist Decoding the Unknown: https://www.youtube.com/@decodingtheunknown2373 Places: https://www.youtube.com/@Places302 Celestium: https://www.youtube.com/@Celestium1234 PoliticalFronts: http://www.youtube.com/@homefronts 00:00 Introduction 02:20 Might is Right: Geostrategic Competition in the South China Sea 10:13 David vs Goliath 18:48 Approaching Tipping Point? Sources: Science Direct - https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/engineering/south-china-sea#:~:text=The%20South%20China%20Sea%20is%20a%20semienclosed%20sea%20in%20the,almost%203.5%20million%20square%20kilometers. The Real News Network - https://therealnews.com/will-the-philippines-be-a-battleground-for-us-china-war The Guardian - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/nov/23/china-passports-ownership-sea-taiwan Pacific Forum - https://pacforum.org/publications/yl-blog-103-resurgent-filipino-nationalism-amid-chinese-aggression-in-the-west-philippine-sea/ The Guardian - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/aug/12/chinese-ships-crash-warship-coast-guard-south-china-sea CNN - https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/11/asia/south-china-sea-china-warship-collision-intl-hnk#:~:text=At%20least%20three%20China%20Coast,any%20casualties%20from%20the%20incident. Council on Geostrategy - https://www.geostrategy.org.uk/research/the-south-china-sea-historical-and-legal-background/ US Energy Information Administration - https://www.eia.gov/international/analysis/regions-of-interest/South_China_Sea Al Jazeera - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/11/whats-behind-escalating-china-philippines-tensions-in-the-south-china-sea Bloomberg - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-24/vietnam-steps-up-island-building-in-south-china-sea-says-csis US Energy Information Administration - https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/regions_of_interest/South_China_Sea/south_china_sea.pdf Britannica - https://www.britannica.com/place/Scarborough-Shoal BBC News - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp3d4rz922do Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative - https://amti.csis.org/tracking-tensions-at-second-thomas-shoal/#:~:text=Over%20the%20last%20two%20years,new%20outpost%20on%20Second%20Thomas. SAN - https://san.com/cc/china-philippines-engage-in-war-of-selfies-on-disputed-south-china-sea-reef/ The Atlantic - https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2014/11/chinas-dangerous-game/380789/ The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute - https://reliefweb.int/report/world/sipri-fact-sheet-april-2024-trends-world-military-expenditure-2024-encasv#:~:text=(Stockholm%2C%2028%20April%202025),at%20www.sipri.org. Armedforces.eu - https://armedforces.eu/compare/country_China_vs_Philippines GlobalMilitary.net - https://www.globalmilitary.net/compare/countries/chn-vs-phl/ Defense News - https://www.defensenews.com/global/asia-pacific/2025/07/02/filipino-military-pushes-naval-base-upgrades-fearing-chinese-spying/ Crisis Group - https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific/south-east-asia/philippines-china-united-states/349-riding-unruly-waves-philippines-military-modernisation-effort#:~:text=During%20the%20Biden%20administration%2C%20Marcos,five%20previously%20agreed%2Dupon%20locations. Al Jazeera - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/18/philippines-us-sign-military-intelligence-sharing-deal-to-counter-china ABC News - https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/us-gain-access-bases-philippines-eye-china/story?id=96847125 Al Jazeera - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/30/us-hands-500m-military-aid-boost-to-philippines-amid-china-tensions Al Jazeera - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/23/trump-administration-promises-ironclad-support-for-philippines-security Lowy Institute - https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/trump-s-grand-bargain-philippines-caught-between-us-china US Department of War - https://www.war.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/article/4250755/hegseth-philippine-president-meet-to-advance-deterrence-in-indo-pacific/

Fronts Staff • October 22, 2025