What if Kamala Harris Had Won?
Simon Whistler · November 4, 2025 · 21 min video · Americas
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What this episode covers
What if Kamala Harris Had Won? — a Fronts video briefing on Strategy & Defense.
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- What If Harris Had Won?In the free preview
- China, Taiwan and Middle East PolicyInsiders
- Ukraine, Sudan and Global CrisesInsiders
From the transcript
The old cliche goes that a week is a long time in politics, and if that's true, then the last year feels like centuries, doesn't it? Hard as it may be to believe now, but exactly a year ago, Kamala Harris was running Donald Trump neck and neck in the polls, and while Trump's margin of victory would ultimately be comfortable, it very nearly wasn't.
In the three tipping points states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, Harris was within 1.7 points of victory, as the now defunct site FiveThirtyEight explained in the aftermath quote, "If Harris had won those three states, plus all the states and districts she actually did win, she would have gotten exactly 270 electoral college votes." In other
Words, a swing of just 1.8 percent in three northern states would have allowed Harris to do what Trump did in 2016, claimed the presidency despite losing the popular vote.
This transcript was generated automatically and may contain errors.
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