What if the Polls are Wrong?
Fronts Staff • November 2, 2026
Members only
Note: this transcript was generated by AI and may contain errors or inconsistencies.
As we head into the United States' midterm election tomorrow, most outlets are
Projecting
One of two outcomes - either a good night for the Democrats or a great one.
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About this briefing
With America's 2026 midterm elections approaching, polls favour Democrats taking Congress, but historical polling errors could dramatically alter outcomes. A three-point miss would hand Republicans the Senate. This episode examines polling accuracy since 2016, voter turnout uncertainties, and whether GOP cultural messaging can overcome the cost-of-living concerns dominating voter priorities.