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The Berlin Attack is Part of a Broader Pattern. Europe Needs to Wake Up to The Growing Threat
Paweł Wójcik · August 7, 2026 · 8 min read
Analysis
Deep strategic analysis and opinion focused on incentives, second-order effects, and long-term implications.
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Is Niger the Islamic State’s New Target? And More.
Islamic State fighters are escalating attacks as Niger's junta struggles to hold the tri-border zone, and the group's center of gravity may be shifting toward Niamey. Plus the week's other stories.
Simon Whistler · August 6, 2026 · 17m
Podcast
Middle East Roundtable: For Whom the Strait Tolls.
Iran just torpedoed its own Hormuz deal, the US is quietly admitting it's out of missiles, and Saudi Arabia is somehow getting squeezed from three directions at once. Big week.
Fronts Staff · August 6, 2026 · 1h 5m
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Article
What Will Russia's Military Look Like After the Ukraine War?
Staggering losses will force Moscow into hard tradeoffs — cutting its navy and air force, betting big on drones — but the force that emerges could be more dangerous than the one that invaded in 2022.
Jakub Janovsky · July 13, 2026 · 15 min read
ArticlePremium
Ukraine's Long-Range Strikes are Hurting Russia. Now it Needs a Plan to Retake Territory
Strikes on refineries impose costs, but Russia will adapt. The case for a "drone blitz": massing drones and ground robots on a narrow front to rupture Russian defences and restore manoeuvre.
Illya Sekirin · July 11, 2026 · 9 min read
Article
Mali Proves It. Russia's Africa Strategy is Collapsing.
Coordinated rebel attacks across Mali are exposing the limits of Russia's security strategy and the fragility of Bamako's northern campaign.
Paweł Wójcik · July 8, 2026 · 12 min read
Article
Drones are Transforming the Sahel Conflict. Here's How
From Ukraine-trained Tuareg rebels to jihadists flying captured quadcopters, the Sahel's insurgents are outpacing the juntas — and the decisive weapon so far is the camera overhead, not the bomb.
Brant Philip · July 6, 2026 · 10 min read
ArticlePremium
Europe's Nuclear Energy Revival Comes with Hidden Vulnerabilities
From Kazakh mines in the Kremlin's orbit to Soviet-era reactors locked into Russian fuel, Europe's €241 billion nuclear bet runs through Moscow — and neither SMRs nor Washington offer a way out.
Leo Feypel · July 4, 2026 · 15 min read
VideoPremium
What is Alexander Lukashenko Up To? And More.
Belarus's strongman is freeing prisoners and courting Washington while deepening military ties with Moscow — a double game that reveals more about his weakness than his cunning.
Simon Whistler · July 3, 2026 · 17m
Podcast
Middle East Roundtable: As the Dust Settles.
Evan Moloney, Kyle Moran, and Wilfred Miner on the weekend's tit-for-tat strikes, Oman's pivot to a "voluntary" Hormuz toll, and why Iran's unfrozen billions look like a rearmament fund.
Fronts Staff · July 3, 2026 · 1h 12m
ArticlePremium
NATO Needs to Dronify or Die
A veteran drone operator advising Ukraine's high command argues that drones have made battlefields transparent and massed forces suicidal — and that NATO's token spending leaves it years behind Russia.
Illya Sekirin · July 1, 2026 · 9 min read
VideoPremium
How Iran Will Spend $400 Billion
A historic windfall is flowing toward Tehran, and everyone from the IRGC to a decaying welfare state wants a cut. Where the money lands will reveal whether the regime prioritizes guns, patronage, or survival.
Simon Whistler · June 30, 2026 · 13m
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